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...And so ... The Story Begins....It was a windy balmy morning and the voice said with a slow firm assuring whisper:"It's time to go ... get a moving!" "Daaa ... Ahhhh ... yawn ...", I propped an elbow into the mattress wondering where exactly in time the morning was beginning. "Exactly ...?", stressed the voice, keeping me busy with conversation. "Yea ...", I reached for the ringing alarm clock, barely grasping it - just enough to send it rolling past the phone cord and down to the marble floor. "... exactly, when is this happening?" "Oh ...", said the voice, humored by the alarm clock's parabolic path. "... the morning begins when the ringing stops". I flopped back into my pillow; my vision was still fuzzy; so also was my perception of the awakening day. For the next five seconds I cringed at the rolling ringing alarm clock against the floor - the cat jumped off the bed in the opposite direction. It stopped. I considered that I could have a better idea of when the morning began if I could perceive smaller increments of time. At the moment the alarm had stopped I was aware that my perceptive recognition of time was approximately 300 milliseconds. Call this amount G(me) = .300 seconds, where G of (me) is the smallest distinguishable time slots. At different times of the day { or different moods } G(me) might change - and G(me) may not equal G(you) ... or: G(n-1) does not equal G(n) | n is a subset of different people Considering a finer (smaller) G(me) my definition of when the morning began would be more precise. At some point during my finer perception of the transitory event (the stopping of the alarm) I would find that the interface became "fuzzy". That is, no longer would a solid line of demarcation exist - but rather an area where there was a "shared" state that was both morning and pre-morning. The morning, by definition, began when the alarm hammer stopped hitting the bell. Yet, if I increased G(me) greatly, I could discern the compression of the sound waves from the last hit of the hammer against the bell. Graphically:
By looking at one alarm event - there is still discrete definition.
Expanding out the time line of the last hammer-hit of the alarm shows less discrete boundaries. Although this example is theoretically based on our observation of the world around us, clearly some events depend on our definition of belonging. Extending the limits of what constitutes some event belonging to a set of criteria may make the definition less precise. "Much human knowledge is vague and imprecise. Human thinking and reasoning frequently involve inexact information [1]." Fuzzy numbers give a membership grade to what
normally would be considered the probability that an
attribute occurs. Instead of an event having a likely-hood of
happening ( some fractional number between 0 and 1 ) fuzzy
numbers allow events to share membership. Given a membership
function Conclusion:In conclusion, there are seemingly discrete events which we use as demarcation points between one event and another. Upon examination to finer levels of definition ( in my example, time was expanded in order to find a higher tolerance of where the morning began and the ringing stopped ), the data points become fuzzy - that is, membership can be given a probability of belonging to more than one event. New operations can be used to link membership with the more inclusive standards of probability analysis. One technique that could be use to analyze physical events which are very close to each other is the law of comparative judgment. References:1 Leung, L, and Lam, W, Fuzzy Concepts in Expert Systems, Computer, September, 1988, pp. 43.2 Zwick, Rami, A note on Random Sets & the Thurstonian Scaling Methods, Fuzzy Sets and Systems - an international Journal, March, 1987, v. 21, n. 3, pp. 351 - 356. 3 Dong, Wei-min and Wong, Felix, Interactive Fuzzy variables and Fuzzy Decisions, Fuzzy Sets and Systems - and international Journal, January, 1989, v. 29, n. 1, pp. 1 - 5. 4 Cavallo, Roger E., quote from CSC 551 Introduction to Systems Theory class, May 3, 1993, 3:00 O'clock Class. |